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Posted (edited)
Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development
 
 
This has already been planned  in advance by the Rockefeller Foundation in 2010
 
Full PDF is on the link and see on Page 18 under Lockstep:
 
 

The Schwartz scenario states,

 

 

“In 2012, the pandemic that the world had been anticipating for years finally hit. Unlike 2009’s H1N1, this new influenza strain — originating from wild geese — was extremely virulent and deadly. Even the most pandemic-prepared nations were quickly overwhelmed when the virus streaked around the world, infecting nearly 20 percent of the global population and killing 8 million in just seven months…”

He continues,

Then the scenario gets very interesting:

 

“The pandemic also had a deadly effect on economies: international mobility of both people and goods screeched to a halt, debilitating industries like tourism and breaking global supply chains. Even locally, normally bustling shops and office buildings sat empty for months, devoid of both employees and customers.” This sounds eerily familiar.

 

 

“During the pandemic, national leaders around the world flexed their authority and imposed airtight rules and restrictions, from the mandatory wearing of face masks to body-temperature checks at the entries to communal spaces like train stations and supermarkets. Even after the pandemic faded, this more authoritarian control and oversight of citizens and their activities stuck and even intensified. In order to protect themselves from the spread of increasingly global problems — from pandemics and transnational terrorism to environmental crises and rising poverty — leaders around the world took a firmer grip on power.”

Edited by Thoth101
Posted

More from Scenarios for the Future of Technology and International Development by the Rockefeller Foundation

 

 

At first, the notion of a more controlled world gained wide acceptance and approval. Citizens willingly gave up some of their sovereignty-and their privacy- to more paternalistic states in for greater safety and stability. Citizens were more tolerant, and even eager, for top-down direction and oversight, and national leaders had more latitude to impose order in the ways they saw fit. In developed countries, this heightened oversight took many forms: biometric IDs for all citizens, for example, and tighter regulation of key industries whose stability was deemed vital to national interests. In many developed countries, enforced cooperation with a suite of new regulations and agreements slowly but steadily restored both order and, importantly, economic growth.

 

TECHNOLOGY IN LOCK STEP

While there is no way of accurately predicting what the technological advancements will be in the future, the scenario narratives point to areas where conditions may enable of accelerate the development of certain kinds of technologies. Thus for each scenario we offer a sense of the context for technological innovation, taking into consideration the pace,geography, and key creators. We also suggest a few technology trends and applications that could flourish in each scenario.

 

Technological innovation in "Lock Step" is largely driven by government and is focused on issues of national security and health and safety. Most technological improvements are created by and for developed countries, shaped by governments duel desire to control and to monitor their citizens. In states with poor governance, large-scale projects that fail to progress abound.

 

Technology trends and applications we might see:

 

:Scanners using advanced functional magnetic resonance imaging(fMRI)technology become the norm at airports and other public areas to detect abnormal behavior that may indicate "antisocial intent.:

 

:In the aftermath of pandemic scares, smarter packaging for food and beverages is applied first by big companies and producers in a business-to-business environment, and then adopted for individual products and consumers.

 

:New diagnostics are developed to detect communicable diseases. The application of health screening also changes; screening becomes a prerequisite for release from a hospital or prison, slowing the spread of many diseases.

 

:Tele-presence technologies respond to the demand for less expensive, lower-bandwidth, sophisticated communications systems for populations whose travel is restricted.

 

:Driven by protectionism and national security concerns, nations create their own independent, regionally defined IT networks, mimicking China's firewalls. Governments have varying degrees of success in policing internet traffic, but these efforts nevertheless fracture the "World Wide" Web.

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